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Monday, October 12, 2026
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The Venezuelan Crisis May Now Determine Trump's Political Legacy - as well as the United States' Position in the Global Order

In the wake of executing a evening of overwhelming force in Venezuela, Donald Trump seems to be entering the state-building business.

In a notable media briefing at his Mar-a-Lago resort on Saturday morning, the president announced that US forces had effectively captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife in an overnight raid in Caracas.

Trump then indicated that a team including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth, collaborating with Venezuelans, would be taking control of the troubled nation.

"We are going to manage the country until such time as we can do a secure, proper and careful transition," he said.

What exactly "governing the state" entails is ambiguous, but the vow represents an dramatic change of course for the president, full of contradictions and formidable obstacles.

A leader who campaigned against "forever wars", who vehemently denounced past US efforts at regime change and who vowed to implement an "America First" international policy is now betting his presidency on successfully rebuilding a South American nation whose economic system is collapsed and whose governmental stability has been eroded by decades of dictatorship.

Yet, Trump was relentlessly upbeat.

He stated his administration has a "perfect track record of winning" – and that this will be no exception. He promised to enlist American oil firms to repair Venezuela's deteriorating industrial infrastructure, supplying financing for the American reconstruction efforts and benefitting the Venezuelan people.

He left open the possibility of deploying American soldiers to Venezuela to progress these efforts. "We're not afraid of boots on the ground…we had boots on the ground last night," he told reporters.

Trump, a vocal opponent of the US intervention of Iraq, will now have to remember the words of one of the American planners of the Iraq War, Secretary of State Colin Powell: "If you shatter it, you are responsible for it."

A Changed Global Approach

The US has redefined Venezuela's future – for better or worse.

Trump came to power nearly a year ago pledging to be a peacemaker, but over the past year he has shown that he is ready to use military force internationally.

In the past week, he authorized airstrikes on Syria and Nigeria. In 2025, he struck atomic sites in Iran, suspected narco-trafficking boats in the Caribbean, insurgent groups in Yemen, militias in Somalia and Islamic militants in Iraq.

Unlike past actions, which have largely involved rockets and aircraft that minimize the exposure of American forces to danger, Trump's Venezuela operation – and his pledges to the future of that nation – are markedly different.

His goal, he said during his press conference, is to "make Venezuela great again."

Reactions from Allies and Critics

That twist on Trump's "MAGA" – or Maga - mantra may be hard for some of Trump's backers to swallow.

Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, a former Trump loyalist who split from the president after charging him of abandoning his core supporters, was swift to denounce the president's actions on social media.

"Americans' disgust with our own government's endless use of force and backing for overseas conflicts is justified because we are compelled to fund it," she stated. "This is what many in Maga thought they voted to end. How mistaken we were."

Another notable Trump critic, Republican Congressman Thomas Massie, contrasted the official rationale for Maduro's arrest – on arms and cocaine trafficking charges – with Trump's explanation that the operation was to reclaim seized US oil and halt fentanyl production.

The majority of Republican lawmakers stood by the president, with House Speaker Mike Johnson describing the armed intervention against a "criminal regime" as "decisive and justified".

Policy Rationales and Worldwide Consequences

During his appearance, the president said the Venezuelan operation furthered his "America First" agenda because it guaranteed US hemispheric security and provided a steady source of oil.

He resurrected the Monroe Doctrine – an nineteenth-century American diplomatic policy that declared the Western Hemisphere should be free from influence by European powers – and rebranded it the "Trump Doctrine."

The action in Venezuela, Trump said, shows that "US preeminence in the Western Hemisphere will not be questioned again."

The purpose of the new US security policy, he said, was to "safeguard trade, land and resources that are core to our national security." He branded the Western Hemisphere as America's "sphere of influence."

Trump's choice to apprehend Maduro will provoke larger concerns in global politics, however, and impact American ties with the world's other major military powers.

The Chinese government issued a statement voicing surprise and denouncing what it said was a reckless assault on a sovereign nation.

During the Biden administration, the US offered similar censures of Russia after its incursion of Ukraine. Now the Trump administration is trying to mediate a ceasefire between those two nations – one that has often appeared to be more favourable to the Russian side.

Don Bacon, a centrist Republican congressman, voiced concern about the message Trump's actions might send.

"My main concern is now Russia will use this to excuse their illegal and brutal operations against Ukraine, or China to justify an invasion of Taiwan."

Opposition and Legal Scrutiny

Trump's Democratic opponents were blunter.

"America should not be managing other countries for any reason," said a senator who serves on the Senate Foreign Relations committee. "We should have learned by now not to get involved in endless wars and overthrow attempts that carry devastating results for Americans."

Another senior Democratic lawmaker stated Maduro is a criminal and a autocrat with a record of human rights abuses. But he condemned Trump's choice not to inform legislative leaders before initiating the attack.

"Donald Trump has the constitutional responsibility to follow the law and uphold institutional norms in the United States," he said. "That is what putting America First demands."

Trump, in his remarks, explained that he opted not to inform Congress because he was worried they would "leak" details of the operation prior to the attack.

An Uncertain Future

That military operation was a success – with zero American deaths and limited damage to US assets. Trump, with his typical confidence, portrayed the operation as a "daring raid" and "one of the most stunning, successful and impressive demonstrations of American power and proficiency in American history."

Now he is betting his presidency on that success continuing, as the US claims it will assume responsibility for administering and reconstructing Venezuela - though what that actually means is unclear. He and his team must fortify a nation that has been in turmoil for years while stabilising a region that is bound to be cautious of what Trump's international strategy has in store for them.

SP
By

Susan Pena

A seasoned analyst in gaming and probability with over a decade of experience.

Lucky Center UK

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